If Ontario plans to cut off natural gas by 2030, high risk of extinction

According to IESO, gas plants represent 30 percent of Ontario’s total production capacity, but they are primarily used to connect faults in the event of an explosion.

Frank Gun / CP

Not to mention Ontario’s natural gas power plants at the end of this decade Proponents of her case have been working to make the actual transcript of this statement available online. Proponents of her case have been working to make the actual transcript of this statement available online.

According to the report, in response to requests from municipalities to cut off natural gas by 2030, an independent electricity system operator (IISO) is estimated to spend $ 27 billion to build alternative generators and transmission lines, with additional operating costs of $ 5.7 billion a year. $ 100 or 60 percent increase. When there is a high demand, power outages can lead to interruptions. And that, according to the report, is very good.

“The main message is that the 2030 timetable does not really give us enough airports,” he said.

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Mr. Dereva said the IESO team was “challenging” to do this work and did not live in obstacles, but convincing them would require brave assumptions. Those include Ontario being able to build the world’s largest energy storage network (over 6,000 megawatts) over the next eight years, and accepting that it expects an additional 3,300 megawatts of supply from Quebec. Those assumptions were probably unreasonable, Mr. Darev said.

It was a very important exercise, but it was really impossible.

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This message saddens many who have asked for a quick return from fossil fuels Power generation to avoid the devastating effects of climate change. The report was an IESO response to more than 30 Ontario municipal councils (including Kitchener, Hamilton, Winsor, Missisaga and Toronto).

Nuclear power plants and hydroelectric dams generate most of Ontario’s electricity. According to IESO, gas plants represent about 30 percent of the district’s total production capacity, but they were used as a bridge when electricity was hit by a tornado in Toronto and residents turned on their air conditioners. As a result, they make up 7 percent of the electricity produced.

It is expected to change. IESO forecasts indicate that the Pekinger nuclear power plant (currently planned for 2024-25) and the refueling upgrades at the Flight and Darlington nuclear power plants will need to be expanded over the next decade. The 2030s.

Until recently, natural gas was considered a fuel for new energy choices. It is a very clean fossil fuel. Other benefits include relatively short construction times for new plants and capital costs. And gas-fired plants are generally less popular than new dams and nuclear power plants. This has led to rapid construction throughout North America, sometimes referred to as the “gas breach.”

The same factors contribute to global growth. According to the International Energy Agency, natural gas accounts for about a quarter of the world’s electricity and has met one-third of the world’s energy demand over the past decade – more than any other oil.

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However, natural gas emissions have been significantly reduced by industrial countries’ plans to achieve “net zero” emissions by the middle of the century or so. According to a report published last year by USA Power Rage, new gas-powered power plants “are facing a stronger financial storm than ever before” for rising generation and storage costs.

According to RMI, “gas production is likely to attract a small investment of interest compared to clean energy, which is likely to reduce market share.”

The Ontario Fresh Air Alliance is one of the NGOs that is looking forward to the complete disappearance of natural gas. The organization encouraged municipal councils to develop Queen Park.

Jack Gibbon, chairman of IESO, said the IESO analysis was “fundamentally flawed” because it considered high-cost battery storage while ignoring more attractive options.

They analyze the most expensive storage options you can consider in order to reject the demand for a gas factory standard.

“Ontario is located next to the largest hydropower reservoir in the world. And by 2030, the storage capacity of our electric car batteries will be double that of our gas factories. But they do not analyze that option. ”

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Richard Carlson, director of energy policy with pollution testing, agrees with IESO that there will be strong pressure on Ontario to release natural gas by 2030. He attributed the problem in part to the fact that the district never addressed key questions about what kind of power it should generate once it retires.

If we are serious about meeting our climate obligations, we will not be able to burn unburned gas. ” And we need the right plan to get there.

Mr Carlson said the 2035 deadline would be “violent” but “if we start planning now.”

They expect that natural gas will increase, as buildings and vehicles will increase electricity demand. According to forecasts published earlier this year, if Canada’s energy regulator steps to reduce greenhouse gas emissions at current speeds, the country’s natural gas production capacity will increase by 70 percent by 2030. Less – about 30 percent – If nothing is done to reduce greenhouse gas emissions outside of today’s policies, there will be little demand for new generation capacity.

A.D. In 2014, Ontario became the first authority to eliminate the generation of coal from electricity. IESO had a similar view of the transition: The regional government’s plan to shut down coal-fired plants in 2006 jeopardized the system’s reliability and said it would “require significant delays.”

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